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February 23, 2022

Texas Primary Update Wednesday, Feb 23rd

It is Wednesday, February 23, 2022 and the first Primary election in the mid-terms is in full swing in Texas.   With over 16 million eligible voters it is no wonder why the Lone Star State gained two Congressional Seats in this year’s redistricting. But with the courts still yet to weight in it is not clear how the Congressional maps will shake out.  With all of this drama happening in the background we have a primary election happening.   These numbers are as of Tuesday evening February 22, 2022.

Texas does not have party identification by voter registration in the voter file.  So, in a state like Texas, L2 models party ID by primary ballot selection and L2 modeling. If you have questions regarding this, please feel free to send us an email, or a tweet.

Likely Statewide Party 

Likely Dems: 256,122(3.31 % of total Likely Dem electorate)
Likely Rep:  340,761 (5.76 % of total Likely Rep electorate)

Likely Republican Electorate- Details    

Gender
F:  48.6%
M:  51.3%

Veteran Voters: 7.3%

 
Age Range: 

18-29: 1.81%
30-39: 3.60%
40-49%: 6.26%
50-64%: 22.6%
65+: 65.6%

Household Gender Composition:
Female Only Household: 14.2% 
Male Only Household: 10.7%
Mixed Gender Household:  75.0%


Individual Income Range:

Tuesday, February 22, 2022  
Under $24,9995.31%
$25,000 – $34,9994.67%
$35,000 – $49,9999.53%
$50,000 – $74,99919.3%
$75,000 – $99,99918.2%
$100,000 – $124,99912.4%
$125,000 – $149,9998.85%
$150,000 – $174,9994.44%
$175,000 – $199,9993.61%
$200,000 – $249,9994.71%
$250,000 +6.45%

Education Level:
Bach Degree Likely or Extremely Likely: 25.6%
Grad Degree Likely or Extremely Likely: 16.4%
Some College Likely or Extremely Likely: 13.7%
HS Diploma Likely or Extremely Likely: 19.9%
Less than HS Likely or Extremely Likely: 2.10%

Home Owners:
Likely Homeowners: 71.3%
Likely Renters:  10.5%

Children (under 18 in HH):
Known or Modeled as Likely to Have Child:  30.6%
Modeled Not as Likely to Have Child:  60.0%

Gun Owners: 16.4% 

Pets
Dog Owner: 19.4%
Cat Owner: 10.7%
Horse Owner: 2.29%

Occupation:  

**We only note occupations when the percentage moves over one point**

  1. Other – Retired: 3.97%
  2. Management- Upper: 2.53%
  3. Other – Homemaker:  2.51%
  4. Medical – Nurse:  2.42%
  5. Office Assistant – Sales Clerk: 1.80%


Likely Democratic Electorate- Details    

Gender:

F:  57.8%
M:  42.0%

Veteran Voters: 5.67%

Age Range: 
18-29: 3.37%
30-39: 4.82%
40-49%: 6.84%
50-64%: 18.8%
65+: 66.0%

Household Gender Composition:
Female Only Household: 24.7% 
Male Only Household: 12.6%
Mixed Gender Household:  62.5%


Individual Income Range:

Tuesday, February 22, 2022  
Under $24,9997.81%
$25,000 – $34,9997.92%
$35,000 – $49,99914.1%
$50,000 – $74,99921.0%
$75,000 – $99,99916.1%
$100,000 – $124,99910.0%
$125,000 – $149,9997.15%
$150,000 – $174,9993.44%
$175,000 – $199,9992.84%
$200,000 – $249,9993.44%
$250,000 +4.09%

Education Level:
Bach Degree Likely or Extremely Likely: 23.8%
Grad Degree Likely or Extremely Likely: 15.7%
Some College Likely or Extremely Likely: 11.3%
HS Diploma Likely or Extremely Likely: 20.1%
Less than HS Likely or Extremely Likely: 4.19%

Home Owners:
Likely Homeowners: 64.2%
Likely Renters:  18.6%

Children (under 18 in HH):
Known or Modeled as Likely to Have Child:  34.0%
Modeled Not as Likely to Have Child:  53.8%

Gun Owners: 11.9% 

Pets
Dog Owner: 12.5%
Cat Owner: 6.7%
Horse Owner: 1.0%

Occupation  

**We only note occupations when the percentage moves over one point**

  1. Other – Retired: 3.70%
  2. Medical – Nurse: 2.71% 
  3. Management- Upper: 1.66%
  4. Other – Homemaker:   1.52%
  5. Office Assistant – Sales Clerk:  1.07%
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