L2 and Haystaq are excited to announce our national political models, updated for 2020. Each of the 200 million voters on the L2 voter file has a score representing their likelihood of agreeing with any of 120 given positions.
As of June 2020, our models are now updated to include a new set of contemporary issues:
- COVID
- Black Lives Matter
- 2020 General Election Turnout
- Early Vote Voter
- Absentee Ballot (Vote By Mail)
- Green New Deal
- Biden, Warren, Sanders Democratic Primary Supporters
Modeling Process
These models were built using response data from a national custom-built survey fielded via IVR -and live- telephone calls and an online panel.
The indicator data used by these models is a combination of:
- Individual-level voter registration information and past voting behavior
- Individual and household demographic and consumer characteristics
- Census and geographic-level data
Haystaq National Models User Guide 2020
Complete List Here:
HaystaqDNA Issue/Behavioral Models
COVID/Black Lives Matter:
COVID China Responsible
COVID Trust Social Media
COVID Mask Wearer
COVID Impact on Daily Life
COVID Frequent Testing
COVID Reopening Cautious
COVID Reaction Overblown
Black Lives Matter Protests Strong Support/Oppose
Black Lives Matter Strong Support/Oppose
Hot Button Issues:
Affordable Care Act
Allow Transgender Bathrooms
Border Wall with Mexico
Citizens United Supreme Court Ruling
DACA
Drug Price Regulations
Ex-Felon Voting
Female Candidate vs. Male Candidate
Gentrification of Housing
Government Bailouts of Business
Green New Deal
Universal Healthcare
Income Inequality
Internet Privacy
MeToo Movement
Universal Basic Income
$15 Minimum Wage
Minority Candidates
Muslim Ban
Online Gaming
Opioid Crisis Concern
Opioid Crisis Government Response
Political Redistricting
Public Transit
GMO Food
Rideshare Regulation
Rideshare User
Self Driving Vehicles
Supreme Court Importance
Voting Access
Core Issues:
Party Affiliation
Abortion
Affordable Housing Policy
Right to Work Laws
Casinos
Charter Schools
Civic Infrastructure
Civil Liberties vs. Terror Threat
Climate Change
Common Core National Education
Death Penalty
Economic Anxiety
Energy
Environment
Fracking
Free Trade Agreement
Gas Taxes
Gay Marriage
Gun Control
Federal Land Management
Humanitarian Intervention Overseas
Hunting and Fishing Supports
Ideology – General
Ideology – Social
Ideology – Fiscal
Immigration
Infrastructure Spending
Labor Unions
Marijuana Legalization
Minimum Wage
Pipeline Construction
School Choice
School Funding
Social Security Reform
Tax Cuts
Tea Party Opinion
Tobacco Tax
Military Intervention
Voter Turnout Models:
2020 General – Likelihood to Vote
2020 General – Vote by Mail
2020 General – Early Voter Preference to Vote by Mail
2020 General – Vote Early
2020 General – Views on Early Voting
Top of the Ticket Voter
Ticket Splitter
Behavioral Models:
Activist
Attends Church
Consumer Purchase Decision
Mail Reader
Attends Movies
Religion Importance in Life
Social Media Usage
Presidential Candidates
Biden Supporters
Sanders Supporters
Warren Supporters
TV News Source:
Fox News
CNN
MSNBC
Trump Specific:
Trump Approval
Trump Russia Connections
Trump Impeachment
Mueller Investigation
Pence Opinion of VP
